Joe Lonsdale

I’ve spoken to over 2 dozen MDs at PE firms I can confidently say that the arb of figuring out how to implement Vertical AI at portfolio companies is very real right now It will fundamentally change underwriting for those who can do it predictably and unlock generational returns. Most are aware they need to act. Very few have.

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Big milestone for Firmable. We’ve raised $14m Series A led by Airtree. Sales has moved through a few big waves: intuition-led, CRM-led, data-led. We’re now entering the next one – intelligence-led sales. The opportunity isn’t just better data. It’s turning that data into clear direction and action, without adding more work for sales teams. That’s what we’re building at Firmable: a foundation of trusted external data, layered with intelligence that helps sellers know who to focus on and when. Led by Airtree, this round supports our expansion across Asia and into the US – and accelerates the build-out of AI agents that take the admin work off sales teams so they can focus on what they do best. Proud of the team, grateful to our customers and investors. We’re just getting started. Read the exclusive in the AFR. https://lnkd.in/gr66uknb Leigh Jasper | Tara Salmon | Karthik Venkatasubramanian| Chester Thompson| Chath Widanapathirana

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Thrilled to share the launch of Criticality, a $65M fund built to back founders solving hard, high-leverage problems at the intersection of technical complexity and real-world urgency. Criticality builds on the foundation we’ve laid at Antler - applying our conviction-driven approach to companies at Seed & Series A. The fund is sector-flexible but applies a deep tech lens to each opportunity, targeting non-obvious, high-leverage problems from the earliest stages of company formation. Grateful to the New Mexico State Investment Council for their support in anchoring Criticality. More to come soon from Cash Allred & I.

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This is great news for early venture investors: Angels, GPs, LPs alike. Shorter time to exit with partial QSBS benefits is an all-around win for the industry in a time where exits through IPOs are rare and M&As are heating up. 🔥🔥

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Hot take: lot's of #LP's are growing underwhelmed with traditional venture investing. 💰 Fees are high given the level of engagement with the company operators. ❓ Access is opaque - LP's are unclear on the portco operations and outcomes. Outcomes are scattered - power law investing can certainly work, but many feel that venture capital investing is just a numbers game. There's another way. I'm biased, but I think it's better: #VentureStudios as an asset class. They blend: 🤜 🤛 Control and ownership 💡 Thematic focus 👬 Partnership with operators Studios offer a fund-like structure — but with more alignment, higher value conversion and less noise. If you're interested in understanding more about the studio model, we have resources to share. Please reach out and let's connect!

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💡Emerging GP Fundraising Insight #8: Rolling Closes Keep You Moving Small funds can't always afford to sit still until the target is hit. Rolling closes let you start deploying earlier, build a track record, and show momentum to prospective LPs. One GP told me that for Fund I ($5M target), he took capital as it came, signed, wired, and got to work. It wasn't perfect, but it kept the lights on and the deals moving. Sometimes the "sign and wire as it comes" approach is the only way to get moving. Takeaway: Momentum is a fundraising asset and rolling closes can help you keep it. Has anyone here used rolling closes as a strategic advantage?

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ASVLP 2026 | EMERGING FUND MANAGERS ROUNDTABLE Navigating the 2026 VC Cycle: Opportunities, Constraints & Competitive Edge for Emerging Fund Managers Raising and deploying capital as an emerging fund manager in 2026 is no longer about momentum. It’s about positioning, credibility, and structural advantage. LP expectations have tightened. Capital formation is slower and more selective. And differentiation is no longer declared — it’s demonstrated. At ASVLP — Africa Startup & VC Landscape Preview, this high‑signal roundtable brings together experienced investors, capital allocators, and ecosystem leaders to unpack what it truly takes to compete — and survive — as a new fund manager in the current cycle. This is not a discussion about starting funds. It is a candid examination of how capital is actually being allocated, where emerging managers face real constraints, and what separates those who scale institutional credibility from those who stall. Speakers Emmie van Halder — @/MPower Netherlands Varun Turlapati — Chaanakya Capital Abiola Adediran, MBA, FCA, FIMC, CMC, M.CIoD — GENEA FAMILY OFFICE Emmanuel Adegboye — Madica Mope Abudu — AfriGloCal VC Zachariah George — Launch Africa Ventures Amb. Dr. Dunston P. — Private Office of H.H. Sheikh Ahmed Bin Faisal Al‑Qassimi Moderator Maha M. — COREangels MEA The conversation will explore: • What LPs are truly underwriting in emerging managers today • Where structural constraints — not talent — limit fund performance • How new managers can build defensible edge in portfolio construction, signalling, and partnerships • What must change for emerging funds to graduate into durable institutions Who should attend Emerging fund managers, LPs, DFIs, and ecosystem builders focused on shaping Africa & MENA’s next generation of venture capital — with discipline, not hype. ASVLP 2026 Participation is FREE but strictly by invitation. To join: Repost and comment #ASVLP2026 — your registration link will be sent via DM. This Session is Powered by COREangels MEA

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We’re excited to share that our fund has invested in Cerebras Systems. Artificial intelligence is entering a phase where infrastructure matters as much as algorithms. As AI adoption accelerates across industries, the demand for scalable compute to train and run increasingly complex models is growing exponentially. Cerebras is building technology designed specifically for this new era of AI. Their breakthrough approach centers on wafer-scale computing — a radically different architecture built to handle large-scale AI workloads with greater efficiency and speed. Instead of stitching together thousands of smaller processors, Cerebras developed a single, massive AI processor designed to simplify how large models are trained and deployed. What impressed us most about Cerebras is their bold rethinking of AI compute architecture and their focus on solving one of the most important challenges in the AI ecosystem: enabling organizations to run large AI models faster and at scale. As AI moves from experimentation to mission-critical enterprise deployment, the infrastructure powering these systems will become increasingly important. We believe Cerebras is well positioned to play a meaningful role in shaping that future. We’re excited to support the team as they continue to push the boundaries of AI infrastructure. #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #DeepTech #Infrastructure #Investing

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At our recent LP Advisory Council meeting, LPs asked about headlines claiming AI is undermining SaaS. Our view is that the two are mutually reinforcing, not mutually exclusive. We are bullish on AI, and we believe certain SaaS leaders (with systems of record/action, first-party data and data rights, network effects, ambitious AI roadmaps, etc.) are well-positioned to capitalize on the agentic AI opportunity. There are multiple reasons for this. To start, consider what’s happening today with SaaS. The median company in the SEG SaaS Index grew 13% in Q2 while doubling its EBITDA margin year over year, with a top quartile growth rate above 20%. SaaS accounts for only 25% of overall software revenue in 2025, according to Gartner, so secular growth from on-premise to SaaS migrations should continue for years. Notably, this growth largely comes before many SaaS firms monetize a new wave of agents. Meanwhile, small AI startups with little revenue are burning cash and trying to sell. At the other end of the spectrum, Klarna’s much-hyped move to replace Salesforce with AI proved overstated; the CEO later said he was “tremendously embarrassed” by the fallout. SaaS pessimists might ask themselves: Has any large enterprise successfully replaced SaaS systems of record with an LLM? Rather than the AI-SaaS story being one of complete disruption, I believe it’s moving in waves, not unlike how businesses have historically incorporated new technologies:  ● Wave 1 (2023): “Get me some AI so we’re not left out” (a reprise of 1996’s “build a web page and we’ll figure it out later”). ● Wave 2 (2024-mid 2025): “Show me the budget and ROI. Also, why do we need an expensive AI model over a cheap one?” ● Wave 3 (late 2025): "I need enterprise-grade AI that integrates seamlessly, delivers measurable results and won’t disrupt core ops with experimental tools." We can’t say for sure what will happen next, but we do know how software brings value to the enterprise. SaaS is more than software code; it’s digital business intelligence using code to express that intelligence. That takes massive data sets and business experience brought to bear on enterprise functions, at scale and over time. It’s about executing tasks efficiently today, then innovating new tasks over time. For these reasons, we see a supercharged future of AI-enabled enterprise software that enhances productivity and innovation in dramatic ways. That future is less about ever-larger foundation models or narrow AI startups that complicate the stack. Instead, we see integrated software systems that orchestrate digital services to accelerate complex tasks, with agents as the 2026 step-function. AI is a massive force multiplier in that equation, but not a radical disruptor. At Thoma Bravo, we welcome the AI-SaaS conversation. We’re healthily paranoid as part of our mindset. But evidence, history, and business logic suggest that the AI revolution is set to accelerate SaaS value and growth, not undermine it.

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The move from early traction to scale forces a different set of capital decisions. In today's episode of the Private Equity Value Creation Podcast, Jonathan D. Drillings of Riverside Acceleration Capital talks with Shiv Narayanan about how B2B software companies fund that in-between phase—and why the wrong structure at the wrong moment creates problems later. Tune in to learn: - The role of growth lending in hitting milestones - How early equity affects dilution, valuation and future flexibility - What durability actually looks like before scaling - How AI affects risk without changing the fundamentals And much more. The link to the episode is in the comments below.

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